So, will the Golden Globe wins really impact the results of the Oscars®? It's my opinion that they will not. As previously noted, the Globes are awarded by the relatively small Hollywood Foreign Press Association, which has about 80 members, compared with the 5,800 film professionals eligible to vote for the Oscars®. The Globes have more categories, including comedy and musical films, and TV shows while the Oscars® are all about movies.
The Press Association is mainly composed of young men, most under age 45. The Academy members are also mostly male, but there are a greater number of females proportionately in the Academy, and the average age of voting Academy members is older. But, the most important difference is the cultural orientation. Academy members know and appreciate history, especially American history. They are "in tune" with American culture.
The foreign press, on the other hand, go for the younger actors, especially the beautiful young women, and if those young women happen to be blondes their chances of winning awards are much higher. The foreign press are intrigued with the old west, black culture, they l-o-v-e American music and musical performers, and movies that push the boundaries of cultural behavior.
The point I am making is that the nominees for the Oscars® will be somewhat similar, but they will also be different, as will the winners. There are a few Globe winners that will probably repeat at the Oscars®, but let's hold that speculation until the actual nominees are announced.